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NAFTA could collapse within week, Fitch warns
telegraph.co.uk
The global trading system could receive a severe shock in the coming weeks if the talks to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta) fail to reach a new deal by the March deadline.
President Donald Trump wants to reform the deal or leave the treaty, and limited progress so far has raised the prospect of its failure.
“There is a high probability, we put it at around 30pc, that Nafta collapses in a few weeks’ time,” said Marina Petroleka, an analyst at BMI Research, a unit of Fitch Group.
“The reason it is so high is that it is one of the few decisions that the White House, and specifically President Trump, can take unilaterally. It therefore becomes highly unpredictable.”
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